Stocks-Prognosis.com
Search on StockPrognosis.com
To search on the site stockprognosis.com enter the name of the ticker, company name, or search phrase
Sections of the site




QuantSchool: Filtering by accuracy, risk, and sector


Precision Forecast Selection

Effective filtering helps identify the highest-probability opportunities matching your risk profile and market focus.

Core Filtering Dimensions

1. Accuracy Filters

  • Model Confidence: 70%+ (High), 60-69% (Medium), Below 60% (Low)
  • Historical Performance: Track record of similar signals
  • Recent Win Rate: 3-month rolling accuracy

2. Risk Filters

Risk Level Characteristics Suggested Allocation
Low 1:3+ Reward/Risk, Tight stops Core Positions (60-70%)
Medium 1:2 Reward/Risk Balanced (20-30%)
High Speculative, Wider stops Opportunistic (10-15%)

3. Sector Filters

  • Defensive Sectors: Healthcare, Utilities, Consumer Staples
  • Cyclical Sectors: Tech, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary
  • Macro-Sensitive: Energy, Financials, Materials

Advanced Filter Combinations

Conservative Profile

  • Accuracy: 75%+
  • Risk: Low-Medium
  • Sectors: Defensive + Stable Growth

Balanced Profile

  • Accuracy: 65%+
  • Risk: Medium
  • Sectors: Diversified across categories

Aggressive Profile

  • Accuracy: 60%+
  • Risk: Any (with proper sizing)
  • Sectors: Focused on momentum areas

QuantWave Filtering Tools

Tool Function Benefit
Smart Screener Multi-factor filtering Saves research time
Backtest Engine Tests filter combinations Validates effectiveness
Correlation Matrix Shows sector relationships Prevents overexposure

Implementation Strategy

  1. Define your base filters (must-haves)
  2. Set secondary filters (nice-to-haves)
  3. Review filtered candidates daily
  4. Adjust filters monthly based on performance

Common Filtering Mistakes

  • Over-filtering (missing good opportunities)
  • Ignarding changing sector dynamics
  • Not adjusting for market volatility
  • Chasing past performance only

Strategic filtering transforms the forecast catalog from overwhelming to actionable. By systematically applying accuracy, risk and sector filters aligned with your trading personality, you can consistently surface high-quality opportunities while maintaining proper portfolio balance.